Saturday, August 25, 2007

Dependency Theory

Colin Leys The Rise and Fall of Development Theory 1996 James Currey Ltd oXFORD


12






Dependency theory inverted many of the assumptions of modernization theory. It saw metropolitan policy as maleficient, no benefient; inflows od foreign inverstment were seen as giving rise to much greater interest and profit outflows; 'modernizing elites' were really compradores, or lumpen- bourgeoisies, serving their own and foreign interests, not those of the people; world trade perpetuated structures of underdevelopment, rather than acting as a solvent for them. Capitalist develp,met offered nothing to the periphery; the solution lay in reducing lnks to the metropoles and bringing about 'autocentric' national economic growth.






45






It is becoming clear that 'underdevelopment' and 'dependency theory is no longer serviceable and must now be transcended. The evidence for this is (i) r




56




USt generally holds or implies that the condition of people in under-developed countries is the result of exploitation, and this certainly appeals to 'common sense' as one contemplates generally the record of colonialism, in , say, Peru ir the Cingo,




58




For instance, when an MNC moves ots television-manufacturing operation from the USA or Taiwan it does so precisely to reduce the overall level of real wages it pays and so increase absolute surplus value. The Taiwanese workers are evidently more exploited that the US workers whom they replace, using identical equipment. They are also likely to have higher real incomes than Taiwanese workers in plants with much lower organic composition of capital and who as a result produce less per hour of labour.




Which of these two groups of workers is considered more exploited depends both on relative wages and relative productivity,


Diana Hunt Economic Theories of Development barnes & Noble Books 1989 Maryland



203




Dos Santos argues that Dependence is not a purely external phenomenon. It can be manifest in its various forms only because of the collaboration of domestic dominant classes with the metropolitan bourgeoisie. hence, analysis of a national situation of dependence requires the analysis also of its own specific domestic characteristics and movemeny.




204


Dos Santos, three aspects of dependence combine to constrain economic development in the periphery.




1. Since industrial development in the periphery is dependent on exports to earn the foreign currency for purchase of essential inputs, the first consequence of contemporary dependence is the need to preserve the traditional export sector. This 'limits economically the development of the internal market by the conservation of backward relations of production and signifies, politically, the maintenance of power by taridtional dcadent oligarchies. In countries where the export sector is controlled by foreign capital it also signifis substantial profit repatriation and enhanced political dependence.




2.Not only is industrial development strongly conditioned by the balance of payments, but the latter has an inherent tendency towards deficit due to the relations of dependence themselves. Thus trade relations take place in a highly monopolised international market, which tends to lower the price of raw materials and to raise the prices of industrial products. Moreover, modern technology also tebnds toward replacement of natural raw materials with synthetics, thus reducing denabd at the centre for the periphery exports. In addition, foreign capital retains control over the most dynamic sectors in the periphery and repatriates high profits. 'Foreign-financing'- and financial dependence- thus become necessary both to cover the existing balance of payments deficit and to provide the foreign exchange for further development.




3. Meanwbhile, industrial development is also strongly conditioned by the technological monoply exercised by imperialist centres- by the cost of technnology and by tendency to obtain it in the form of invstment by foreign firms. Use of this technology in the labour abundant economies of the periphery results in the super-exploitation of low-wage labour, in limited labour absorbtion, continuing mass deprivation and restricted debelopment in the domestic market.






Dos Santos suggests it is, that eachs tage of dependence is reinforced by a neccesary coincidence between dominant and foreign interests, then it follows that the only way to break out of dependence is radically to change the internal structure that reinforces it and to establish popular revolutionary government which open the wasy to socialism.






217 critisims.




Argued that it is imposiible to draw a hard and fast line between economies that are dependent and those that are not. Rather, international dependence affects all economies to varying degrees.




Seers identifies three key resources which are needed by all national economies, and ingrowing amounts in those which output and/or average living standards are expanding. These are oil, cereals, and technology. No country, Seers argues, is capable of truly aitonomous economic development in that it can supply all its own needs for all three of these resources. Rather, countries can be ranked from least dependent to fully dependent according to whethner they are net importers of one, two or all three of these items. The tests of the significance of this categorisation would come, says Seers, in periods of economic crisis, specifically in periods of disruption to international trade, when the more dependent economies (according to this definition) would suffer the most.




Seers critique thus ends positively, which an attempt to give greater operational precision to the dependence concept by focusing on degress of dependence rather than on a clear-cut dichotomy between economic independence and dependence.








(Not true because japan.)


Magnus Blomstrom & Bjorn Hettne Development Theory in Trasition


43ECLA sttempted to show that underdevelopment is not the same as undevelopment.




Tuesday, August 21, 2007

The press august 17

Investors lose $4.6b, kiwi dollar nosedives.

the kiwi dollar has nosedived into a frightening free-fall, plunging by US 3c, while the sharemarkert has taken a massive hammering, wiping hundreds of millions in a black day for New Zealand investors.

new Zealan'd currency suffered the biggest slump in 20 years, amid panick selling, as the kiwi crashed as low as US68.2c yesterday



The kiwi dollar was the casualty of a torrid flight to safe investments by global investors- existing their high-risk bets on the Kiwi currency for the safer bonds and cash deposits. The fear of a worldwide credit crunch is scaring investors on world sharemarkets, with share prices on a rollercoaster ride.

new Zealand investors have seen $4.6 billion wiped off the value of shares in the top 50 stocks in the last three weeks due to uncertainty about the health of world markets.

the falling dollar has already hit Kiwis in their wallets, with BP boosting petrol prices by three cents a litre last night.

Meanwhile, local investors have been hurt by the backwash from an international financial meltdown sparked by bad loans to high-risk borrowers in the United States housing markets.

Billions of dollars have been lent for overpriced housing to people with poor payment records-some of whome are now defaulting.

Pundits said that the kiwi's fall was not over, and it all depended on what occured in global credit and sharemarkets.

ANZ Bank chief economist Cameron Bagrie did not think US 69c was the bottom of the kiwi dollar. This could go all the way to 60c.

However, exporters were breathing a sigh of relief- with the dollar's decline making their products more competitive in world markets.

However, for consumers, it will eventually mean higher priced imported goods and more costly travel.

A wave of selling by currency speculators bailing out of investments was pulling the dollars down. There had been a scattering of buyers.

The dollar has fallen 7.2% this week.

Speculators were bailing out of the currency to repay lenders they had borrowed big money from to make their currency bets.



Pundits said that
Nervous investors bale out of $A pg25 16 August

The $A was already under pressure when markets here opened yesterday after Wall Street stocks declined sharply and a US investment firm, Sentinel Management, said it wanted to stop its clients withdrawing cash to avoid force liquidation.

Investors are still exiting overweight positions in risky assets and in the currency markets, the large net long speculative positions being unwound are in the $A, kiwi, setrling and euro, " nabCapital currency strategist John kyriakopoulos said. A long position is a bet a currency will appreciate.

Unlucky tarders carrued away as follar loses 13 pc.

Unlucky traders

Financial Review Aug 18-19 2007

The sharp fall in the Australian dollar is something of mixed blessing for the economy, though on balance should support economic growth over the coming year.

On the one hand, the $A will be a filip to lested companies that rely on offshore earnings, as these will now translate into higher local earnings.
It will also ease competitive pressure on exporters and import-competing companies, particularly hard-pressured manufacturers and service providers that, unlike miners, have not directly benefited from the global commodity boom.

A weaker dollar wukk, however, add to demand and inflation pressures in the economuy, through higher import prices and the competitive boost to internationally exposed companies. in turn, that could add to the case for higher interest rates, though this will depend on how strong the global economy remains. The $A will not add to high interest rate pressures if it is associated with a fall in global risk-taking, and much slower global economic growth.

"It's an extremely volatile market," said Robert Rennie, chief currency strategist at Westpac Banking Corp. "But it's probably too early to say with any great conviction what it means for


****

A global credit crunch innitially sparked in the US sub-prime mortgage market meltdown continued to escalate as more financial firms warned of losses and companied struglled to raise funds in the debt market.

Investors frantically dumped shares

Risky assets across the world has been dumped. And this includes the NZ dollars.